伊拉克允许中国以人民币支付交易 I 南华早报

  • 伊拉克中央银行将首次允许私营部门的进口产品以人民币支付,然而,这并不包括占伊拉克出口绝大部分的石油贸易。

  • 据学术界人士称,这一决定的真正影响对于中国长期坚持的货币国际化目标来说并不重要,因为更大的国家和经济体必须参与进来。

  • 此举是中国政府在推动人民币国际化方面迈出的正确一步,但伊拉克从中国的进口量相对较小,因此它不会对人民币国际化的整体程度产生重大影响。

  • 中国政府一直试图提高人民币作为国际贸易中的替代货币和储备货币的吸引力,使中国减少汇率风险,减少对外国金融机构和国际支付系统的依赖,并允许中国以较低的利率借钱。

  • 尽管习近平建议海湾合作委员会六国之间的石油和天然气贸易在三到五年内以人民币结算,但分析家们说,这不太可能在近期内发生有意义的规模,因为石油贸易只能以一种货币开票,目前是美元。

  • 由于美国拥有最深入和最广泛的金融市场以及最开放的资本账户,这加强了美元的力量并使其难以套利,因此在不久的将来取代美元作为主导货币是具有挑战性的。

  • Iraq’s central bank will allow for private sector imports to be paid off in the yuan for the first time, however, it will not include oil trade which comprises the vast majority of Iraq’s exports.

  • According to academics, the real impact of this decision is not significant for China’s long-held goal of internationalizing its currency, as bigger countries and economies have to get involved.

  • The move is a step in the right direction for the Chinese government in its push to internationalize the yuan, but Iraq’s imports from China are relatively small and so it will not have a significant impact on the overall degree of yuan internationalization.

  • Beijing has been attempting to boost the yuan’s appeal as an alternative currency in international trade and as a reserve currency, to make China less exposed to exchange-rate risks, less reliant on foreign financial institutions and international payment systems, and to allow it to borrow money at lower interest rates.

  • Despite Xi Jinping’s proposal that oil and gas trade among six Gulf Cooperation Council states be settled in the yuan within three to five years, analysts say this is unlikely to take place on a meaningful scale in the near future as oil trade can be invoiced in only one currency, which is currently the US dollar.

  • It is challenging to displace the US dollar as the dominant currency in the near future due to the US’s deepest and broadest financial market and most open capital account, which reinforces the dollar’s strength and makes it difficult to arbitrage.

链接:Iraq’s trade with China may be settled in yuan, but oil exclusion seen trivialising the move | South China Morning Post