speculation - Hattie McDaniel’s missing Gone with the Wind Oscar is being replaced

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Speculation can be defined as the act of buying or selling an asset in hopes of making a profit from the price fluctuations that may occur in the future. Speculation is often associated with high-risk financial trading and investing where individuals or institutions seek to gain returns from short-term positions. The practice can be applied to various assets such as stocks, commodities, currencies, and real estate. Speculation plays a significant role in financial markets, and its impact can be both positive and negative.

History of Speculation

Speculation has been around for centuries. The early merchants of the ancient world used to speculate on the prices of goods, particularly spices, silks, and rare metals. The Dutch were some of the earliest people to engage in speculation during the 17th century, when they established the first stock exchange in Amsterdam. Over time, speculation became more widespread, and traders and investors began using more sophisticated methods and instruments to speculate on the market.

The Role of Speculation in Financial Markets

Speculation plays an essential role in the functioning of financial markets. It is an integral part of price discovery, as it helps determine the fair value of an asset by reflecting the market’s expectations of supply and demand. In other words, speculation helps to set prices in financial markets.

Speculators also provide liquidity to the markets by taking positions in assets that other market participants are unwilling to take. This can help lower the volatility of the market and allow for smoother market operations.

The Risks and Rewards of Speculation

Speculation can be both risky and rewarding. On one hand, speculators can make substantial profits from relatively small price movements in the market. However, on the other hand, there are significant risks associated with speculation, including the possibility of losing a substantial amount of money.

One of the key risks of speculation is the lack of market liquidity. If a market becomes illiquid, the ability to buy or sell an asset may be severely diminished, leading to significant losses. Another risk is the use of leverage, which can magnify profits and losses, making it possible for investors to lose more money than they initially invested.

In addition to the risks, speculation can also be rewarding. Successful speculators can make a significant profit from their investments, as they are able to buy an asset at a lower price and sell it for a higher price. This can lead to substantial gains over time.

The Impact of Speculation

Speculation has a significant impact on financial markets, and its effects can be both positive and negative. Speculation can help to increase liquidity in the market, which can lead to more efficient price discovery and the ability to move capital more freely.

However, excessive speculation in a market can be detrimental. The instability and volatility associated with highly speculative markets can lead to bubbles, crashes, and financial crises. These events have the potential to significantly impact the broader economy, causing widespread job losses and economic downturns.

Conclusion

In conclusion, speculation plays an important role in financial markets. It helps to set prices, increase liquidity, and provide opportunities for investors to realize profits. However, it also carries significant risks and can have a detrimental impact on the broader economy if not regulated correctly. As such, it is essential that financial regulators keep a close eye on speculative activities and ensure that the market remains fair and transparent for all market participants.

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Every frog has its day as pepe pops 7,000%

The Globe and Mail

23-05-16 09:11

Meme-inspired cryptocurrency, Pepe, has gained 7,000% since its 16 April launch, reaching a value of $1.8bn by 5 May. While it has since retracted 60%, pepe remains the third-largest meme currency by market capitalisation, behind dogecoin and shiba inu. The recent surge in popularity has boosted other meme currencies, with trading volumes reaching $2.6bn in the first week of May, up from $408,000 the week before. Despite warnings from market players that the meme currencies are speculative and risky, the rise of pepe suggests there is “capital sitting on the sidelines waiting to be deployed”, according to Edmond Goh of B2C2.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/investment-ideas/article-every-frog-has-its-day-as-pepe-pops-7000/

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Japan economy grows more than expected after technical recession

Japan Times

23-05-17 01:06

Japan's economy grew faster than expected, with gross domestic product expanding at an annualised pace of 1.6% in Q1 2021, exceeding estimates of 0.8% growth, and supported by better-than-expected business spending. This outcome is likely to fuel speculation of a possible early election and potential central bank policy change, given the headwinds and tailwinds currently affecting the economy. While stronger wage growth and additional price relief measures are supporting consumption at home, weaker overseas demand, due to higher interest rates to cool inflation, is expected to hurt exports and discourage companies from capital investment.

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2023/05/17/business/japan-economy-grows-more-technical-recession/

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Nadal withdraws from French Open and outlines farewell tour for 2024

RFI

23-05-18 15:05

Rafael Nadal has announced that he will not compete in this year's French Open due to an ongoing hip injury. The Spaniard, who won his 14th men's singles title in Paris last year, revealed during a press conference that the impact of his injury had been worse than expected. His withdrawal from last year’s US Open due to a similar injury and his subsequent discussion of retirement had led to speculation over his future. The French Open starts on May 28 at the Roland Garros stadium in Paris.

https://www.rfi.fr/en/sports/20230518-nadal-withdraws-from-french-open-and-outlines-farewell-tour-in-2024

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Can a right turn revive the Tories?

Financial Times

23-05-19 05:19

A group of Conservative members gathered in Bournemouth for the formal launch of the Conservative Democratic Organisation (CDO), founded by allies of Boris Johnson who want to hand Tory decision-making powers to members. However, the conference was more notable for member complaints about the direction of the party. Compounding such complaints is a sense of uncertainty following the Conservative’s local election results earlier this year. With members seen as the bedrock of the party’s activist base, it’s unclear what the party will do to coalesce with a broad coalition voter base while listening to increasingly divergent concerns from members. While some party members blamed the Conservatives’ state on a “bloated bureaucracy” and taxes, one key issue raised was discontent over the government’s immigration and Brexit policies. The CDO was a haven for many “disgruntled Conservative supporters” with its central calls for party reform. Meanwhile, a separate three-day National Conservatism Conference in London hosted a broader range of right-wing speakers, with the notable absence of the Conservative party present.

Although the Tory party’s leadership appears united, there are worries over how long this could last, with some speculating about the possibility of replacing Sunak before the next election, while more discussions have generated speculation on whether the Conservatives can maintain its current coalition voter base. With polls indicating an average 17-point lead for Labour, there is concern among Conservative members about what the party should be offering up as its core vote-winning policy. Conservative MP Andrea Jenkyns, who opened the CDO conference, raised eyebrows by noting that “I look around colleagues myself and think, you belong in the Lib Dems, actually”. Former home secretary Priti Patel suggested the local election results “is a moment to recalibrate”.

Despite the issues facing the Conservatives, there was one unifying theme across the two right-wing conferences – a vehement criticism of political correctness and a pivot toward more traditional conservatism/populism. Attendees such as Miriam Cates and Danny Kruger have cited "reproductive rights” and “sense of family values” as central tenets of their politics. Former business secretary Jacob Rees-Mogg warned that a change of leadership once more would make the party look “ridiculous”. Nonetheless, the unease and increased discussions among party members could lead to a fracturing if they perceive that the party is shifting too far from its traditional base.

https://www.ft.com/content/776775c6-ea23-406f-9608-c95b949cd6bd

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Kane scores again, Tottenham loses 3-1 to Brentford in Premier League

The Toronto Star

23-05-20 13:43

Harry Kane scored for Tottenham but also lost the game in what could be his final home appearance for the club. Brentford's Bryan Mbeumo scored twice and assisted another goal as the London Bees completed a 3-1 win in the English Premier League. Kane, who has been linked with a move away from Tottenham, scored a stunning free-kick, but the North London team will now struggle to qualify for any European competition and may only finish in seventh place. Brentford extended their recent unbeaten run to four games and sit just one point behind Tottenham ahead of the final games of the season next weekend.

https://www.thestar.com/sports/soccer/2023/05/20/kane-scores-again-tottenham-loses-3-1-to-brentford-in-premier-league.html

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Kane scores again but future at Tottenham uncertain after 3-1 loss to Brentford

Associated Press

23-05-20 13:42

England captain and Tottenham player, Harry Kane, scored a goal against Brentford on Saturday, but that was all Tottenham had in this 3-1 loss. With only one year remaining on his contract, there is mounting speculation that this was be Kane's last week playing for Tottenham. Tottenham’s manager, Ryan Mason, said he couldn’t speculate on such matters until after their next game against Leeds, but in the event Kane does decide to leave, his age may be his biggest obstacle. Kane will be 30 years old when next season commences, which might limit the length of any prospective deal. With this season's losses, it seems Tottenham may not qualify for next year’s European tournaments, which may be a crucial factor in Kane's decision. However, the England captain seems to have made up for some of the loss with his teammates when he picked up Tottenham's Player of the Season award for 2020/21, as voted by the fans.

https://apnews.com/article/kane-tottenham-brentford-mbeumo-c80fee12e518a4110378f0a05860bfc3

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Here are 3 anti-corruption tools in China’s arsenal that may be underutilised

South China Morning Post

23-05-20 23:00

The Chinese government's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has seen an improvement in scrutiny of state-owned enterprise executives' business practices and family assets. In addition to annual asset declarations, there are new tools being used to aid the fight against corruption. One of these is the e-CNY, China's central bank digital currency, which can be traced and is being used to pay civil servants and other state sector employees in one of the country's cities. The national real estate registration system has also been completed, potentially allowing investigation of the housing assets of officials and their families, whilst financial institutions have been heavily reliant on compliance with anti-money laundering regulations to discourage criminal money laundering. Furthermore, cryptocurrency mining has been banned.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3221192/here-are-3-anti-corruption-tools-chinas-arsenal-may-be-underutilised

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Bryan Kohberger faces arraignment for Idaho student murders

The Independent

23-05-22 13:10

Bryan Kohberger, a criminology PhD student accused of murdering four University of Idaho students in November 2022, will appear in court on Monday for his arraignment. Kohberger is expected to enter a plea on four counts of first-degree murder and burglary. Following a six-week investigation, Kohberger was arrested on 30 December after his DNA was found on a knife sheath left behind at the crime scene. A white Hyundai Elantra, matching his, was also captured on surveillance footage driving away from the area at the time of the murders.

In a recent report released by NBC Dateline, Kohberger was believed to have broken into the home of a female student and then installed security cameras to spy on her in the weeks before he allegedly killed the four students. Kohberger had allegedly befriended the woman after moving to Pullman, Washington State, to begin a graduate program in criminal justice at Washington State University. He installed a video security system inside her home to allow him to spy on her, as he knew her wifi password and was able to tap into the cameras. NBC Dateline also reported that Kohberger’s sister feared he was involved in the students’ murders because of reasons including his behaviour and the fact that she saw spots of blood on his clothing.

Kohberger became a suspect in the case after six weeks of near-silence from law enforcement in Idaho and Pennsylvania. Law enforcement executed a search warrant at Kohberger’s apartment, where they seized various items, including cell phone records and a disposable glove, stained with blood, according to sources.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/crime/bryan-kohberger-arraignment-idaho-murders-update-b2343430.html

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Amazon's Jeff Bezos engaged to journalist after world's costliest divorce

Telegraph

23-05-22 21:32

Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sánchez are thought to be engaged, with pictures of the couple on the Amazon founder's $500m mega yacht off the coast of Cannes spreading on social media. The couple, who went public with their relationship in 2019 after Bezos' divorce from Mackenzie Scott, had recently been photographed holidaying in Europe. Sánchez was spotted wearing a large ring, adding to speculation that an engagement was imminent. Bezos' Koru yacht is 417ft long and has a 250ft support vessel with a helipad, as well as a wooden sculpture of Sánchez erected on the prow.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/05/22/bezos-engaged-journalist-after-worlds-costliest-divorce/

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Bryan Kohberger’s parents testify in Dana Smithers case

The Independent

23-05-25 11:14

The parents of Bryan Kohberger, who has been charged in Idaho with the murders of four students, have been called to testify before a grand jury in Pennsylvania related to a case of a woman who was found dead a year after she disappeared. Kohberger's father will appear in court on Thursday, while his mother has already given evidence to the grand jury. Dana Smithers, aged 45, disappeared in May 2022, and her remains were discovered in a wooded area nearly a year later. Kohberger is accused of killing Kaylee Goncalves, Madison Mogen, Xana Kernodle, and Ethan Chapin on 13 November 2022. Kohberger allegedly bought a Ka-Bar knife and knife sheath from Amazon in April 2022, seven months before the murders. Kohberger also allegedly broke into the home of a female student, installed security cameras to spy on her, and moved items around her home in the months prior to the murders.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/crime/idaho-murders-bryan-kohberger-grand-jury-b2345507.html

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B.C. extends reach of property tax aimed at turning empty houses into rental homes

The Toronto Star

23-05-26 21:28

British Columbia's Speculation and Vacancy Tax (SVT) is being expanded into six more communities to clampdown further on speculation and ensure rental homes don't remain empty. The SVT, which will be operational in North Cowichan, Duncan, Ladysmith, Lake Cowichan, Lions Bay and Squamish early next year, will see owners in 40 other towns, cities and districts declare how their property has been used since 2023. The move, which is expected to bring new and affordable housing to struggling communities in British Columbia, ensures homes aren't left vacant due to speculation and raises funds to support the areas in which it applies.

https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2023/05/26/bc-extends-reach-of-property-tax-aimed-at-turning-empty-houses-into-rental-homes.html

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Exclusive: New Turkish cabinet almost certain to include Simsek, four sources say

Reuters

23-05-31 09:31

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is expected to include former economy chief Mehmet Simsek in his new cabinet either as finance minister or as a vice president responsible for the economy, sources have said, which could signal a shift away from Erdogan's unorthodox policy underpinned by low interest rates and heavy state control of markets. Erdogan has won a landmark election despite a cost-of-living crisis and series of currency crashes analysts say were largely brought on by his economic programme, which has kept foreign investors away.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/new-turkish-cabinet-almost-certain-include-simsek-four-sources-say-2023-05-31/

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Lost its mojo? No way. Ted Lasso is still the sweetest show on TV

The Sydney Morning Herald

23-05-31 22:00

There has been much speculation over whether the third season of Ted Lasso will be its last. The soccer-club comedy has had much success in recent years and has won numerous awards. Despite recently receiving criticism over a drop in the show's quality, the third season has still been able to tackle tough issues such as anxiety, social media toxicity, and racism whilst retaining the show's basic values of family, community, tolerance, second chances, and forgiveness. The future of Ted Lasso remains uncertain, but the show has already become a valuable addition to the world of television.

https://www.smh.com.au/culture/tv-and-radio/lost-its-mojo-no-way-ted-lasso-is-still-the-sweetest-show-on-tv-20230526-p5dbjt.html

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Lionel Messi will play his last game for Paris Saint-Germain at the Parc des Princes on Saturday, manager confirms

CNN

23-06-01 14:42

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) manager, Christophe Galtier, has confirmed that Lionel Messi will play his last game for the team on Saturday, ending his contract with the Parisians this June. The footballer has enjoyed a successful season, winning the Ligue 1 in France and leading Argentina to a World Cup title. Despite receiving criticism for missing a training session, Galtier has said that there is no justification for negative comments around Messi’s involvement with the team this year, having been an “important part” of the squad.

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/01/football/lionel-messi-psg-last-game-spt-intl/index.html

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Hundred changes ‘not on agenda’ as ECB plans ‘bigger and better’ competition

Telegraph

23-06-01 14:41

The England and Wales Cricket Board chief executive Richard Gould has stated that he intends to make The Hundred "bigger and better" but that changes the competition's format are "not on my agenda". Gould's comments come in the wake of speculation that major alterations to the format and number of teams participating in the competition were imminent. The 100-ball format is still unique to The Hundred and has been well-received, since it can be played in less time than T20 cricket. Sanjay Patel, the competition's managing director and architect, will also depart in September.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cricket/2023/06/01/hundred-changes-not-on-agenda-ecb-plans-better-competition/

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Busy Bournemouth welcomes tourists day after deaths

The Independent

23-06-01 18:18

A 17-year-old boy and 12-year-old girl died after being pulled from the sea near Bournemouth pier in the UK this week. The police arrested a man on suspicion of manslaughter, although mystery still surrounds the events. Unconfirmed reports have claimed that those involved in the incident had jumped off the pier, but the police have denied both this and the idea that jet skis were involved. Half-term daytrippers continued to visit the south-coast tourist town the day after the event.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/bournemouth-beach-fight-police-boat-b2349762.html

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Donna Traynor's settlement figure 'exaggerated'

BBC

23-06-04 12:08

The settlement paid by the BBC to former presenter Donna Traynor was exaggerated, according to the individual involved. Traynor claimed she had been subjected to discrimination on the grounds of age, sex and disability while working for the BBC in Northern Ireland. The case was settled without admission of liability. The settlement sum had been the focus of speculation in recent days. Both Traynor and a BBC statement said compensation had been paid at a level consistent with redundancy payments. Traynor, who had left the corporation in November 2021 after three decades of service, said the case had been brought for “more important reasons than compensation”. She concluded that she had achieved her objectives and intended to focus on the future.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-65803152

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Lionel Messi’s last game for Paris Saint-Germain ends in defeat

CNN

23-06-04 11:44

Lionel Messi ended his "adventure" with Paris Saint-Germain in defeat on 26 December, with the club confirming ahead of the game that his contract would not be renewed after his arrival last summer. The 34-year-old was one of PSG's most expensive signings, but had struggled this season, with some PSG fans booing his name before and during matches. PSG President Nasser al-Khelaifi praised the Argentine in a statement, saying "his contribution to Paris Saint-Germain and Ligue 1 cannot be understated". Messi, who scored 21 goals and 20 assists in all competitions, helped PSG to win a Ligue 1 title but failed to progress beyond the last 16 in the Champions League. PSG confirmed that Sergio Ramos, whose on-pitch time this season was hit by injuries, also scored his last and final match for the club on 26 December.

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/04/football/lionel-messi-psg-final-game-spt-intl/index.html

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‘Brilliant opportunity’: Michael Cheika breaks silence on Dragons job

The Age

23-06-05 19:00

Former Wallabies coach Michael Cheika has expressed interest in coaching a National Rugby League (NRL) team and he would be up for the challenge of turning the St George Illawarra Dragons' fortunes around. Cheika has been linked to the role, which remains vacant after the club's talks with Dean Young broke down last week. Cheika, whose contract with Argentina ends when they are knocked out of the World Cup, is contracted to coach Lebanon's national rugby league side until 2025. He is also an unabashed rugby league fan instead of an agent.

https://www.theage.com.au/sport/nrl/brilliant-opportunity-michael-cheika-breaks-silence-on-dragons-job-20230605-p5de25.html