备战是预防与中国开战的最佳方案,美英澳核潜艇协议的意义|金融时报

背景:拜登总统将宣布与英国和澳大利亚领导人达成的一项具有里程碑意义的协议,以发展核动力攻击潜艇舰队,加强他们在整个亚太地区的海军力量。该协议旨在对抗中国在整个亚洲的军事发展和领土要求,并涉及美国65年来首次分享此类船只的核技术。根据该协议,澳大利亚将从美国购买三艘弗吉尼亚级核动力潜艇,然后购买英国制造的新一级核动力潜艇。此举是拜登政府为扩大美国军队在太平洋地区的存在和加强四国伙伴关系之间的合作所做的更广泛努力的一部分。

  • Aukus是美国、英国和澳大利亚之间的一项武器和技术交易,其重点是向澳大利亚提供核动力潜艇。

  • 其潜在的地缘政治意图是更新 "英国圈 "国家之间的联盟,以对抗中国在太平洋地区获得海军主导地位的努力。

  • 奥库斯协议植根于20世纪的历史,但它并不明显是为21世纪建立的伙伴关系。

  • 英国不再是一个拥有太平洋殖民地和基地的帝国大国,澳大利亚的经济联系现在主要是与亚洲,而中国是其最大的贸易伙伴。

  • 美国在日本和韩国有军事基地,离中国大陆更近,这使得澳大利亚和英国成为 "有影响的三边防御技术伙伴关系 "的奇怪选择。

  • 三位领导人之间的峰会是为了加强太平洋地区 "英国圈 "国家之间的联盟。

  • 奥库斯交易涉及澳大利亚否定与法国的潜艇交易,这激怒了法国政府。

  • 在澳大利亚,人们对该交易的成本和技术要求表示担忧。

  • 在英国,军事机构担心资源可能会从俄罗斯的威胁中被转移。

  • 在美国,一些政府官员对分享技术秘密犹豫不决。

  • 战略家们认为,这项交易正在助长与中国的紧张关系。

  • 澳大利亚洛伊研究所智囊团的Sam Roggeveen对该交易的影响提出质疑。

  • 尽管有这些担忧,《奥库斯协定》在这三个国家都得到了两党的支持。

  • 澳大利亚和美国对中国的侵略性行为模式表示担忧。

  • 《奥库斯条约》被视为对中国几十年来的军事集结的必要回应。

  • 它也是对中国侵略行为的回应,包括在南中国海的军事基地和对台湾的威胁。

  • “Aukus "是美国、英国和澳大利亚之间的一项倡议,旨在对中国的军事侵略起到威慑作用。它被视为一种信念的表现,即只要有足够的决心,技术和经济问题是可以克服的。这三个国家都在加强安全和情报关系,以对抗中国的力量,美国认为这显示了他们不从印太地区退缩的决心。

  • 英国和澳大利亚都强调了印度洋-太平洋地区的安全对欧洲的重要性,英国认为这一倡议是 "全球英国 "的一个重要标志。这一倡议使美国、英国和澳大利亚再次走到一起,就像他们在两次世界大战期间一样,密苏里号上的气氛很可能是庆祝的。

  • 奥库斯的目的是劝阻中国对台湾或在南中国海部署军事力量,因为西方早些时候没有作出有力的反应,鼓励中国继续推进。美国、英国和澳大利亚都意识到这一倡议的重要性,以及盟友对抗中国力量的必要性。这一倡议被视为对未来的重要保障,也是美国、英国和澳大利亚联合起来对抗可能的全球冲突的一种方式。

  • Aukus is a arms and technology deal between the US, UK and Australia, that is focused on supplying nuclear-powered submarines to Australia.

  • The underlying geopolitical intent is to renew the alliance between the “Anglosphere” nations to counter China’s efforts to gain naval dominance in the Pacific.

  • The Aukus accord has its roots in 20th-century history, but it is not obvious the partnership made for the 21st century.

  • Britain is no longer an imperial power with Pacific colonies and bases, Australia’s economic ties are now primarily with Asia, and China is its largest trading partner.

  • America has military bases in Japan and South Korea that are far closer to the Chinese mainland, making Australia and Britain strange choices for a “consequential trilateral defense technology partnership”.

  • The summit between the three leaders is an effort to strengthen the alliance between the “Anglosphere” nations in the Pacific.

  • The Aukus deal involves Australia repudiating a submarine deal with France which angered the French government.

  • In Australia, there are concerns about the costs and technological demands of the deal.

  • In the UK, the military establishment worries that resources may be diverted from the Russian threat.

  • In the US, some government officials are hesitant to share technological secrets.

  • Strategists argue that the deal is contributing to rising tensions with China.

  • Sam Roggeveen of Australia’s Lowy Institute think-tank has questioned the implications of the deal.

  • Despite these concerns, the Aukus pact enjoys bipartisan support in all three countries.

  • Australia and the US are concerned by a pattern of aggressive Chinese behaviour.

  • The Aukus pact is seen as a necessary response to China’s decades-long military build-up.

  • It is also a response to Chinese aggression, including military bases in the South China Sea and threats towards Taiwan.

  • Aukus" is an initiative between the US, UK, and Australia that is intended to act as a deterrent against China’s military aggression. It is seen as an act of faith that with enough determination, technological and economic problems can be overcome. All three countries are tightening their security and intelligence relationship to counter Chinese power, and the US views this as a demonstration of their determination not to back away from the Indo-Pacific.

  • The UK and Australia both emphasize the importance of the security of the Indo-Pacific in relation to Europe, and the UK sees this initiative as an important symbol of “Global Britain”. This initiative is bringing the US, UK, and Australia together again as they had been during both world wars, and the mood on board the USS Missouri is likely to be celebratory.

  • The purpose of Aukus is to dissuade China from deploying its military muscle against Taiwan or in the South China Sea, as the West’s failure to respond forcefully earlier encouraged China to keep pushing. The US, UK, and Australia all realize the importance of this initiative, and the need for allies to counter Chinese power. This initiative is seen as an important guarantee for the future, and a way for the US, UK, and Australia to come together to fight possible global conflict.

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到現在還在迷戀Anglosphere,真的是一葉障目。